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Guarantees of Origin Will Play Important Role in Energy Transition

Planned and designed to be an incentive to the development of renewable energies, Guarantees of Origin will gain importance as demand for renewable energy increases. According to AleaSoft, the price of certificates will tend to rise and will be important in the development of new renewable projects.
Guarantees of Origin Will Play Important Role in Energy Transition

Renewable energy producers can apply to Spain’s National Authority for Markets and Competition (CNMC) for a certificate of energy generated. These certificates show that the specified kWh were generated from renewable energy sources. There are also Guarantees of Origin for high-efficiency cogeneration. These certificates can be transferred to electricity retail companies so they can prove the renewable origin of the energy supplied to their customers.

Guarantees of Origin were conceived as a tool to provide transparency and guarantee the origin of the electricity generated, and thus encourage the development of renewable technologies. Based on the European directive that mandated the states to ensure that "the origin of electricity produced from renewable energy sources can be guaranteed as such according to objective, transparent and non-discriminatory criteria", each country of the European Union has regulated the issuance and transfer of Guarantee of Origin certificates.

In 2017, the CNMC issued Guarantees of Origin for 76,683 GWh from renewable sources and 1,803 GWh for high efficiency cogeneration, 81.2 percent of which were transferred to marketers to cover all or part of their retailed energy.

The mix of energy sources of each retailer will depend on the fraction of their energy covered with the certificates received. With the rest of the energy produced and not covered by Guarantees of Origin, the CNMC calculates a generic mix for the rest of the retailers.

In Spain, the issuance of Guarantees of Origin by the CNMC is free of charge, but the regulation does not allow renewable facilities that receive state subsidies to profit from their transfer. Consequently, in Spain the market of Guarantees of Origin has been traditionally unattractive and with prices of few cents of euro per MWh, very low compared with other European countries where the prices were around 0.20  0.30 €/MWh. But this has been changing as there are more renewable plants to market without economic incentives and with the affiliation of the CNMC to the AIB (Association of Issuing Bodies) that manages the trade of Guarantees of Origin in Europe. According to AleaSoft, the Guarantees of Origin will have an important role as an incentive in the new renewable projects since their price will tend to increase in the coming years.

But not everybody thinks that the Guarantees of Origin system is perfect. Its detractors denounce it saying it is usually used in a deceptive way to confuse the consumer about the origin of the electricity that physically arrives at its meter. Since the issuance and acquisition of certificates does not influence the pool energy mix, which will only depend on the availability of renewable resources at each moment, it is implied that it does not encourage the installation of more renewable power.

What is certain is that the Guarantees of Origin provide transparency, which allows consumers to know the environmental impact associated with the energy consumed. For the market, it represents an indication of the demand that exists among consumers to be supplied with renewable energy.

In addition, major consumers of electricity such as Google, Facebook and Apple have begun to announce they will work to make their electricity consumption 100 percent from renewable sources, creating  a "green wave" worldwide leading large companies to propose  total green electricity consumption. And this "green wave" will continue to spread in cascade as these companies begin to also ask for green certifications to their suppliers. All this has already increased the demand for Guarantees of Origin and, consequently, their price will continue to grow, according to AleaSoft.

For AleaSoft, the current scenario presents a future where Guarantees of Origin are going to play an important role in the Energy Transition, thanks to the new renewable projects to meet the emission reduction objectives and the increasingly widespread awareness of consumers and retailers about the environmental impact of electricity production.

Information provided by AleaSoft

 

 

Mix of electricity production in Spain in 2017 and the resulting mix not covered by Guarantees of Origin.

Source: CNMC.

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