All types of heat pumps saw a steady increase in sales when comparing 2025 to 2024, with a 26 percent rise in Air to Water Monobloc heat pumps, a 32 percent increase in Ground and Water source heat pumps and 36 percent increase in Domestic Hot Water heat pump sales
The number of heat pumps sold in the UK that were manufactured in the UK increased by 38 percent in 2025 relative to 2024
Whilst this growth is very positive, the rate of growth has slowed compared to the 56 percent surge recorded in 2024. To achieve 450,000 heat pumps installed per year by 2030, in line with the target set out in the Warm Homes Plan, the market would need to see 33 percent compound growth in heat pump sales year on year.
Our latest analysis shows that the economic opportunity associated with accelerating the deployment of hydronic heat pumps in line with the Carbon Budget Growth and Delivery Plan could increase UK gross value added by £14 billion over the course of the decade and contribute to a potential 62% reduction in the reliance on imported gas by 2035.
“Following the publication of the Warm Homes Plan, it’s evident that heat pumps remain a pivotal technology to decarbonise heat in the UK” said Charlotte Lee, HPA UK, Chief Executive, commenting on the data. “The continued growth of the UK heat pump market is extremely positive, but to meet the Government’s target of 450,000 heat pump installations annually by 2030, momentum must be maintained. The sector eagerly awaits the publication of the Future Homes and Building Standard Regulations and calls on the Government to urgently publish a consultation which sets out options to reduce the price of electricity relative to gas. Both are needed to provide the sector with confidence that the main barriers to accelerate heat pump deployment are being unlocked.”
With the Warm Homes Plan reaffirming the Government’s commitment to heat pumps, HPA UK are calling for urgent action to unlock further growth.
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